NFL 2026 · Week 5
NFL Week 5 Picks (2026)
Every NFL pick we published for Week 5 of the 2026season, with the model's probability, the odds, and how each pick was graded. Premium picks appear here once their game is settled.
Picks
12
Record
6–5
Voids
1
Pending
0
Week 5 picks by game
Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets prediction
Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
| Pick | Probability | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns to Win | 61% | 2.10 | Loss |
| New York Jets Over 18.5 First Downs | 67% | 1.71 | Loss |
| New York Jets Over 90.5 Rushing Yards | 64% | 1.82 | Win |
| Deshaun Watson Over 200.5 Passing Yards | 71% | 1.88 | Loss |
| Demario Davis Over 0.5 Sacks | 74% | 1.49 | Loss |
| Geno Smith Under 23.5 Pass Completions | 66% | 1.75 | Win |
Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints prediction
Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
| Pick | Probability | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings to Win | 67% | 1.70 | Win |
| Minnesota Vikings Over 5.5 Points (2nd Quarter) | 76% | 1.45 | Loss |
| Minnesota Vikings Over 115.5 Rushing Yards | 70% | 1.61 | Win |
| Kyle Van Noy Over 0.5 Sacks | 72% | 1.53 | Void |
| Joshua Metellus Over 2.5 Solo Tackles | 74% | 1.47 | Win |
| Tyler Shough Under 3.5 Rush Attempts | 75% | 1.46 | Win |
Every published pick is listed and graded after the game — free picks from publication, premium picks once settled — and nothing is removed after the fact. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and past results do not guarantee future results. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Full grading history: NFL results.